“When the world’s masses start buying … there will be no top!”
Of course the “Chuckleheads”, right along with Mrs. Wantanabe & Gal Pals,
panic bid gold higher at the Asian close into the European open … it’s what
they do best! And if history is any guide, after a $16 range for the effort, New
York will be a bucket of shit, as the dealers attempt to sell it off, and take the
“Froth & Mojo” out of the market. Now, there are times when those attempts
fail, price continues higher, and we end up with a mini melt-up … and for that,
we need the SP500 to nosedive below 2700 during the NYSE session, and more
importantly stay there.
What makes gold so incredibly tough a market to make money trading, is that
New York is historically & generally, a “bummer” for gold bulls … as I’ve
stated previously, and if you somehow think I’m stretching facts a bit, then do
the research yourself and check it out … “without New York, gold would already
be above $10,000 per OZ., cuz the majority of the rallies come from Asia &
Europe, and almost ALL the selling occurs in New York … not every single dollar
of course, but the vast majority of any bull up move doesn’t happen in New York”.
Turning to today’s gold market … “So, here we are with a $16 range … don’t be
surprised if it isn’t extended much or at all when the day is over … I hope not, but
the market doesn’t ask or want my opinion” … we’ll see what happens.
And like the sun rising in the East, lo & behold the longs get sucked in, the
“Flying Wedge of Death” [FWD] shows up, the range is extended a paltry
couple of bucks, and the market tanks when stock indices go
“Thelma & Louise” and gold can’t rally … and here we sit at midday with the
aforementioned “bucket of shit” … “this is what happens when Asia & part of
Europe put in a $16 range and then the metals dealers show up for New York
trading … having fun yet”!?
If you don’t know history, you’re doomed to repeat it! And gold throughout the
years and decades I’ve followed it and traded it, has a definite pattern of
behavior that is unique to markets … it picks up “Froth & Mojo”, and then
proceeds to lose it … it’s “fingerprints” I’ve talked about before and are
predictable … and finally, anytime the lemmings in Asia do “stupid shit”, like
rallying or dropping price > $10+ per OZ., 90+% of the time New York will
undo it and make fools out of those traders that were dumb enough to think
gold is some kind of “straight shot” to money making heaven … not
back-in-the-day, not today, and for sure not tomorrow either!
Here in the early PM afternoon in New York, and gold looks to be lucky if it
can hold 1230 … the correlation magic with USDCNH, now a long forgotten
memory, since the ChiComs have left the YUAN/GOLD peg go to hell in a
handbasket … so that leaves the “SPOO’S”, the SP500 futures contract for
traders to become obsessive over and chase price up/down over every futures
tick … “enter the “Plunge Protection Team” [PPT], and if you think somehow
this correlation will work out to being long gold, well, I got some beachfront
property in Kansas to show you! … the PPT will ensure most traders in both
gold & Spoo’s, get shafted “bigly & yuge” … and sure enough, mission
accomplished looking at both M1’s in each market”.
One trade buy signal in the C2 & PAMM … PAMM up a few bucks.
Looking at the screen when I came in at about 5 AM EST, I knew right out of
the gate, it was going to be another bullshit day … only more “chop” with
more spikes … and while I thought there was a chance for gains above 1240,
however brief they might be, dealers put the hammer down rather quickly off
the high … “simply put: this is what you get when Asia has a $16 range; don’t
count on further gains”. Here at 1 PM EST in New York, gold is about $3 lower
than where it was 8+ hours ago, hanging onto the 1230 handle by a thread
… and if this is some kind of shock to you, then you haven’t been listening
these last weeks and months as I’ve written about gold … “gold is infamous
for shit like this”!
The one buy signal we did get, made us sweat a little before rallying
… nevertheless, I’m not unhappy jettisoning the trade when I did … seeing
stocks getting “monkey hammered” and gold limping higher “inch by inch”,
instead of running like it should have, had me nervous in the trade for
anything substantial on the upside … sure, we got one more blitz higher, but
that blitz itself got faded quicker than a cheap suit in sunshine … and now,
here we are lower in the PM … maybe it rallies back some, but this market
needs to see some downside action … with 40K retail spec longs coming
onboard these last 2 weeks, I think some of them got out today, and the rest are
positioned with stops below the 1229- 1227 level … the downside action doesn’t
need to be vicious, just quick … unless stocks get their rally boots on from here
into the election, I don’t think the 1220 - 1215 level gets breached.
Today sees another day of below average 8 hour ranges for New York; the 7th
in a row … my advice for Asia? … “take some fucking Valium or something and
settle the fuck down! … stop buying the damn highs, and stop panic selling the
lows … in other words, stay up late and “pajama trade” New York, and quit being
the world’s biggest idiot traders … FFS”!
Onto tomorrow … let’s hope the morons in Asia don’t ruin another trading day
… I’m outta here … until tomorrow mi amigos … Onward & Upward!!
PAMM Spreadsheet directly below.
click to enlarge
Have a great day everybody!!
-vegas
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